[Infowarrior] - An invention that could change the internet for ever
Richard Forno
rforno at infowarrior.org
Sun May 3 21:37:11 UTC 2009
http://license.icopyright.net/user/viewFreeUse.act?fuid=MzM1NjQ4Mg%3D%3D
May 3, 2009
An invention that could change the internet for ever
Revolutionary new web software could put giants such as Google in the
shade when it comes out later this month. Andrew Johnson reports
The biggest internet revolution for a generation will be unveiled this
month with the launch of software that will understand questions and
give specific, tailored answers in a way that the web has never
managed before.
The new system, Wolfram Alpha, showcased at Harvard University in the
US last week, takes the first step towards what many consider to be
the internet's Holy Grail – a global store of information that
understands and responds to ordinary language in the same way a person
does.
Although the system is still new, it has already produced massive
interest and excitement among technology pundits and internet watchers.
Computer experts believe the new search engine will be an evolutionary
leap in the development of the internet. Nova Spivack, an internet and
computer expert, said that Wolfram Alpha could prove just as important
as Google. "It is really impressive and significant," he wrote. "In
fact it may be as important for the web (and the world) as Google, but
for a different purpose.
Tom Simpson, of the blog Convergenceofeverything.com, said: "What are
the wider implications exactly? A new paradigm for using computers and
the web? Probably. Emerging artificial intelligence and a step towards
a self-organising internet? Possibly... I think this could be big."
Wolfram Alpha will not only give a straight answer to questions such
as "how high is Mount Everest?", but it will also produce a neat page
of related information – all properly sourced – such as geographical
location and nearby towns, and other mountains, complete with graphs
and charts.
The real innovation, however, is in its ability to work things out "on
the fly", according to its British inventor, Dr Stephen Wolfram. If
you ask it to compare the height of Mount Everest to the length of the
Golden Gate Bridge, it will tell you. Or ask what the weather was like
in London on the day John F Kennedy was assassinated, it will cross-
check and provide the answer. Ask it about D sharp major, it will play
the scale. Type in "10 flips for four heads" and it will guess that
you need to know the probability of coin-tossing. If you want to know
when the next solar eclipse over Chicago is, or the exact current
location of the International Space Station, it can work it out.
Dr Wolfram, an award-winning physicist who is based in America, added
that the information is "curated", meaning it is assessed first by
experts. This means that the weaknesses of sites such as Wikipedia,
where doubts are cast on the information because anyone can
contribute, are taken out. It is based on his best-selling Mathematica
software, a standard tool for scientists, engineers and academics for
crunching complex maths.
"I've wanted to make the knowledge we've accumulated in our
civilisation computable," he said last week. "I was not sure it was
possible. I'm a little surprised it worked out so well."
Dr Wolfram, 49, who was educated at Eton and had completed his PhD in
particle physics by the time he was 20, added that the launch of
Wolfram Alpha later this month would be just the beginning of the
project.
"It will understand what you are talking about," he said. "We are just
at the beginning. I think we've got a reasonable start on 90 per cent
of the shelves in a typical reference library."
The engine, which will be free to use, works by drawing on the
knowledge on the internet, as well as private databases. Dr Wolfram
said he expected that about 1,000 people would be needed to keep its
databases updated with the latest discoveries and information.
He also added that he would not go down the road of storing
information on ordinary people, although he was aware that others
might use the technology to do so.
Wolfram Alpha has been designed with professionals and academics in
mind, so its grasp of popular culture is, at the moment, comparatively
poor. The term "50 Cent" caused "absolute horror" in tests, for
example, because it confused a discussion on currency with the
American rap artist. For this reason alone it is unlikely to provide
an immediate threat to Google, which is working on a similar type of
search engine, a version of which it launched last week.
"We have a certain amount of popular culture information," Dr Wolfram
said. "In some senses popular culture information is much more
shallowly computable, so we can find out who's related to who and how
tall people are. I fully expect we will have lots of popular culture
information. There are linguistic horrors because if you put in books
and music a lot of the names clash with other concepts."
He added that to help with that Wolfram Alpha would be using
Wikipedia's popularity index to decide what users were likely to be
interested in.
With Google now one of the world's top brands, worth $100bn, Wolfram
Alpha has the potential to become one of the biggest names on the
planet.
Dr Wolfram, however, did not rule out working with Google in the
future, as well as Wikipedia. "We're working to partner with all
possible organisations that make sense," he said. "Search, narrative,
news are complementary to what we have. Hopefully there will be some
great synergies."
What the experts say
"For those of us tired of hundreds of pages of results that do not
really have a lot to do with what we are trying to find out, Wolfram
Alpha may be what we have been waiting for."
Michael W Jones, Tech.blorge.com
"If it is not gobbled up by one of the industry superpowers, his
company may well grow to become one of them in a small number of
years, with most of us setting our default browser to be Wolfram Alpha."
Doug Lenat, Semanticuniverse.com
"It's like plugging into an electric brain."
Matt Marshall, Venturebeat.com
"This is like a Holy Grail... the ability to look inside data sources
that can't easily be crawled and provide answers from them."
Danny Sullivan, editor-in-chief of searchengineland.com
Worldwide network: A brief history of the internet
1969 The internet is created by the US Department of Defense with the
networking of computers at UCLA and the Stanford Research Institute.
1979 The British Post Office uses the technology to create the first
international computer networks.
1980 Bill Gates's deal to put a Microsoft Operating System on IBM's
computers paves the way for almost universal computer ownership.
1984 Apple launches the first successful 'modern' computer interface
using graphics to represent files and folders, drop-down menus and,
crucially, mouse control.
1989 Tim Berners-Lee creates the world wide web – using browsers,
pages and links to make communication on the internet simple.
1996 Google begins as a research project at Stanford University. The
company is formally founded two years later by Sergey Brin and Larry
Page.
2009 Dr Stephen Wolfram launches Wolfram Alpha.
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