[Infowarrior] - DHS: 'Plot Would Have Killed Thousands'

[Richard Forno]

'Plot Would Have Killed Thousands'

http://abcnews.go.com/WN/story?id=3451976&page=1

EXCLUSIVE: Homeland Security Secretary Michael Chertoff Offers Chilling
Details About 2006 Airplane Plot and Current Terror Threats

Aug. 6, 2007 ‹

Terrorists who had planned to detonate gel-based explosives on U.S.-bound
flights from London last August would have achieved mass devastation,
according to new information from Homeland Security Secretary Michael
Chertoff in an exclusive interview with ABC News.

"I think that the plot, in terms of its intent, was looking at devastation
on a scale that would have rivaled 9/11," Chertoff told ABC's Pierre Thomas.
"If they had succeeded in bringing liquid explosives on seven or eight
aircraft, there could have been thousands of lives lost and an enormous
economic impact with devastating consequences for international air travel."

Sources tell ABC News that after studying the plot, government officials
have concluded that without the tip to British authorities, the suspects
could have likely smuggled the bomb components onboard using sports drinks.

The components of that explosives mixture can be bought at any drugstore or
supermarket; however, there is some question whether the potential
terrorists would have had the skill to properly mix and detonate their
explosive cocktails in-flight.

But they can work  scientists at Sandia National Laboratory conducted a
test using the formula, and when a small amount of liquid in a container was
hit with a tiny burst of electrical current, a large explosion followed.
(Click on the video player on the right side of this page to view the
video.)

The test results were reviewed today by ABC terrorism consultant Richard
Clarke, who said that while frequent travelers are upset by the current
limits on liquids in carry-on baggage, "when they see this film, they ought
to know it's worth going through those problems."

One official who briefed ABC News said explosives and security experts who
examined the plot were "stunned at the extent that the suspects had gamed
the system to exploit its weaknesses."

"There's no question that they had given a lot of thought to how they might
smuggle containers with liquid explosives onto airplanes," Chertoff said.
"Without getting into things that are still classified, they obviously paid
attention to the ways in which they thought they might be able to disguise
these explosives as very innocent types of everyday articles."

Tense Hours as Officials Learned of Plot

Chertoff speaks candidly about those moments when Homeland Security learned
about the potential attack, and the terrorists had not yet been captured.

"This was very, very tightly held, because the British were concerned about
any possibility of a leak getting out. Obviously, the intelligence folks
knew, the senior intelligence folks, the president, senior leaders in the
White House," he said. "Within my own department, only the deputy and I were
initially told about this."

"I got a call telling me that it looked as if the focus had turned on an
attack on the United States, specifically an attack on airliners leaving
from Britain, traveling to American cities," Chertoff said. "It also became
evident, within 24 hours, that the time frame within which the attack was
going to take place, would not be a matter of months but & a matter of weeks
or even days."

Airports in the United States and the United Kingdom were put on red alert 
meaning a potential attack could be imminent  and liquids were banned from
carry-on luggage as suspects were picked up, including 24 British-born
Muslims and seven Pakistanis.

"We had to start about 9, 10 o'clock in the evening, when the arrests began
to go down in Pakistan, and when we were first given the ability to tell
other people about the plot," Chertoff said. "And we had to turn the entire
process around by 6 a.m. the following morning, before people started to
board airplanes.

"You had to change literally thousands of people's behavior in the course of
about 12 hours. We had to train them. We had to get everybody to understand
what the new rules were going to be. And you had to communicate to the
public in a very short period of time.

"And so, we spent literally the entire night bringing in not only the TSA
senior leadership, but also talking on the phone to the airline leadership,
so that everybody would understand what needed to happen at 6 a.m. the
following day," he said.

For Chertoff, the concern remained that an attack would have been carried
out if they'd missed a critical detail. "There's an enormous sense of
working against time, giving the analysts as much time as you possibly can,
but always recognizing at the end that the benefit of the doubt has to be in
favor of saving lives."

Assessing Current Risks

Since last August, the failed plot has had an enormous impact on U.S.
airports, which have remained on orange  or high  alert, for nearly a
year.

After authorities tested the explosive liquids, the government determined
what quantity of liquid explosives could pose a risk if smuggled onboard
flights, leading to the 3-ounce limit for carry-on bags.

Passengers are still restricted when bringing liquids onboard, and those
rules may remain in place forever.

At the moment, Chertoff believes there is a "heightened risk" of an attack.

"We have seen that in some areas of Pakistan, the enemy has been able to
reconstitute itself and get a breathing space, so to speak, where they can
plan and do some recruiting and some training. We've seen increased effort
to develop terrorist operatives in Europe.

"And, of course, the concern we have, because of the visa waiver program,
has been Europeans either carrying out attacks against Americans on the
European continent, or even coming to the United States," Chertoff said.

"When you add these things together, they don't move into a mathematical
certainty we're going to have an attack, but they do suggest that there is a
heightened threat, a bit more capability than there was, and, therefore, all
the more reason for us to continue to raise the level of our security and
our defenses," he said.

That progress was aided after the arrests last year that provided Homeland
Security with information about terrorist capabilities.

"Clearly, the effort to put explosives in sports bottles was a reaction to
what we had done with respect to other kinds of explosives, and & we're
going to be back and forth with terrorists on this kind of cat-and-mouse
process for years to come," Chertoff said.

And while he is confronted by pieces of data daily as Homeland Security
tries to assess credible threats and piece together information, Chertoff
said he remains continually struck by the nature of the enemy.

"You know, we go about our business during the summer, other times of the
year. People are going to ballgames or watching their children graduate from
high school," he said, "and it chills me sometimes to think there are people
a half a world away who are spending the same period of time in a cave,
trying to figure out how to kill us."

Copyright © 2007 ABC News Internet Ventures